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What Would Happen If Trump Wins Iowa?

Implications for the 2020 Election

If Donald Trump wins the Iowa caucuses, it will be a major upset. Trump is currently polling behind several other candidates in the Republican field, and Iowa is a state that Trump lost in the 2016 general election. However, if Trump does manage to win Iowa, it could have a significant impact on the 2020 election.

First, a Trump victory in Iowa would give him a much-needed boost in momentum. Trump has been struggling in the polls in recent months, and a win in Iowa would help to revive his campaign. It would also give Trump a talking point that he could use to attack his opponents, claiming that he is the only candidate who can win in swing states like Iowa.

Second, a Trump victory in Iowa would make it more difficult for his opponents to win the nomination. If Trump wins Iowa, it will be a sign that he still has a strong base of support among Republican voters. This will make it more difficult for other candidates to challenge Trump and win the nomination.

Third, a Trump victory in Iowa could increase the chances of a contested Republican convention. If Trump wins Iowa and several other early states, it is possible that he could enter the Republican convention with a plurality of delegates but not a majority. This would lead to a contested convention, which would be a chaotic and unpredictable event.

Conclusion

A Trump victory in Iowa would have a major impact on the 2020 election. It would give Trump a boost in momentum, make it more difficult for his opponents to win the nomination, and increase the chances of a contested Republican convention.