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Торговая война США с Китаем приводит к «неожиданно» не тем результатам

The US-China Trade War: 'Unexpected' Results Emerge

China's Resilience and Diversification

Contrary to expectations, China's economy has weathered the storm of US tariffs, exhibiting resilience and adaptability. The country's focus on domestic consumption and export diversification has helped mitigate the impact of trade sanctions.

US Trade Deficit Surges

Despite the Trump administration's goal of reducing the trade deficit with China, the gap has actually widened. In 2021, the US imported $15.5 billion more from China than it exported, highlighting the challenges of altering deeply interconnected supply chains.

Shifts in Global Supply Chains

The trade war has prompted businesses to rethink their global supply chains. Many companies have relocated production from China to other countries in Southeast Asia, leading to increased investment and economic growth in those regions.

Impact on Prices and Inflation

The trade war has contributed to rising prices for consumers and businesses in both the US and China. Tariffs on imports have led to higher costs for goods, which has fueled inflation and eroded purchasing power.

Damage to US-China Relations

The trade war has taken a toll on US-China relations, escalating tensions and undermining trust. Political posturing and rhetoric have further strained the diplomatic relationship between the two countries.

Limited Effect on US Manufacturing

Despite the administration's claims, the trade war has not significantly revitalized US manufacturing. Employment in the sector has remained relatively stagnant, suggesting that other factors, such as automation, play a larger role in industrial decline.

China's Growing Economic Influence

The trade war has inadvertently strengthened China's economic power in the long run. By diversifying its trade partners and expanding its domestic market, China has reduced its dependence on the US and increased its global economic influence.

Call for Reassessment and Dialogue

As the trade war enters its fifth year, experts and policymakers are calling for a reassessment of its effectiveness and a return to dialogue. The long-term consequences for both economies and global trade remain uncertain, necessitating a fresh approach to address the underlying issues.